Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4059
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Tomorrow
OO 4059 · DTW → GRB
departs 10:00 AM ET · arrives 10:27 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 15h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Mon 10/12
Odds over time
Arrive at GRB more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GRB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at GRB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to GRB?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into GRB at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 19% of the time recently
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at GRB
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
GRB (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 3,133 ft Visibility 7.66667 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.