Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4060
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Today
OO 4060 · LAN → DTW
departs 5:18 AM ET · arrives 6:10 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±0 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.2d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave LAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at DTW that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
LAN is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
LAN (origin)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 1,640 ft
Visibility 8 mi
Precip none
DTW (destination)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 200 ft
Visibility 0.8 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.