OO 4628 · ABQ → IAH

departs 5:15 AM MT · arrives 8:30 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±2 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ IAH is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from ABQ are usually not late

Weather at each end

ABQ (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling8,367 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4628 · ABQ → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?