OO 5082 · SGU → DEN

took off 5:04 AM MT · landed 6:15 AM MT (scheduled 5:00 AM MT → 6:44 AM MT)

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SGU

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from SGU are usually not late

Weather at each end

SGU (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

DEN (destination) Gusts32 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5082 · SGU → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?