OO 5139 · IAH → HEZ

departs 12:00 PM CT · arrives 1:20 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at HEZ more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±1 pts −11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HEZ?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ 12pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ IAH is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HEZ

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling8,367 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

HEZ (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5139 · IAH → HEZ

Odds over time

How late will it get to HEZ?