OO 5528 · XWA → DEN

took off 1:43 PM CT · expected to land 2:05 PM MT (scheduled 1:30 PM CT → 2:29 PM MT)

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at XWA that day

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ XWA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

XWA (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.78 in

DEN (destination) Gusts32 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5528 · XWA → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?