OO 6225 · PHX → FLG

departs 10:32 AM MT · arrives 11:39 AM MT

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at FLG more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±5 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLG?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 28 kt, cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at FLG that day

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↑ PHX is busy at that time

↓ FLG usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FLG (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.56 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6225 · PHX → FLG

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLG?