OO 6458 · DFW → HOU

took off 9:58 AM CT · expected to land 10:42 AM CT (scheduled 9:45 AM CT → 11:03 AM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to HOU?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9am departures from DFW are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Arrivals into HOU at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HOU (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6458 · DFW → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?