Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6477
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Tomorrow
OO 6477 · SAF → LAX
departs 6:41 AM MT · arrives 7:51 AM PT
Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±0 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave SAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 23% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
SAF (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.24 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.