OO 6490 · GDL → PHX

departs 1:26 PM CST · arrives 3:23 PM MT

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±0 pts +21 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
33%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GDL

↓ 1pm departures from GDL are usually not late

Weather at each end

GDL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6490 · GDL → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?