PD 596 · FLL → YHM

took off 1:05 PM ET · expected to land 3:53 PM EDT (scheduled 12:30 PM ET → 4:19 PM EDT)

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at YHM more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to YHM?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from FLL are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ FLL is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YHM (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PD 596 · FLL → YHM

Odds over time

How late will it get to YHM?