PT 5810 · PHL → MHT

departs 8:26 PM ET · arrives 10:00 PM ET

Your aircraft is N652RS (E145), coming in as PT 5809 from BUF: landed 6:17 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MHT more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts +20 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MHT?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
29%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↓ MHT usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.49 in

MHT (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 5810 · PHL → MHT

Odds over time

How late will it get to MHT?