PT 6127 · PHL → AVL

took off 9:21 AM ET · landed 10:38 AM ET (scheduled 8:50 AM ET → 10:40 AM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to AVL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PHL that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↓ AVL usually runs smoothly

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.35 in

AVL (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 6127 · PHL → AVL

Odds over time

How late did it get to AVL?