Schedule: FAA flight plans.
AIR CANADA JAZZ · FLIGHT QK 457
SCHEDULED
Monday, October 12 Today
QK 457 · LGA → YYZ
departs 10:30 AM ET · arrives 12:05 PM EDT
Your aircraft is CGLJZ (CRJ9), coming in as QK 456 from YYZ: still at YYZ, due off about 10:18 AM EDT, 49 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).
Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 10/13 15%
Wed 10/14 11%
Thu 10/15 18%
Fri 10/16 23%
Sat 10/17 12%
Sun 10/18 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?
100%
chance · ±0 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
100%
Leave 15+ late
100%
Arrive 1h+ late
82%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 99 min after the scheduled departure, about 78 min late from the gate after a typical 21-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 41%.
+13 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No <1%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 99 min after the scheduled departure, about 78 min late from the gate after a typical 21-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 35%.
+14 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Arrive at YYZ more than an hour late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 99 min after the scheduled departure, about 78 min late from the gate after a typical 21-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 18%.
+11 pts
82%
Yes 82%
No 18%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to YYZ?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↑
10am departures from LGA are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
YYZ usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into YYZ at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.08 in
YYZ (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.