QX 2005 · SEA → YVR

departs 11:45 AM PT · arrives 12:49 PM PDT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at YVR more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YVR?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from SEA are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at YVR

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YVR (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2005 · SEA → YVR

Odds over time

How late will it get to YVR?