RV 1704 · LAS → YYZ

departs 11:33 PM PT · arrives 6:41 AM EDT

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YYZ?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ Arrivals into YYZ at that hour are usually not late

↓ YYZ usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling11,286 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

YYZ (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

RV 1704 · LAS → YYZ

Odds over time

How late will it get to YYZ?