SV 38 · IAD → RUH

departs 7:01 PM ET · arrives 1:53 PM +03

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at RUH more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RUH?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 7pm departures from IAD are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RUH

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.97 in

RUH (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SV 38 · IAD → RUH

Odds over time

How late will it get to RUH?