Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 3049 LANDED 2:55 PM ET, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 12 Today

SY 3049 · BWI → TOL

took off 1:54 PM ET · landed 2:55 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at TOL more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at TOL that day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ TOL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.24 in

TOL (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 3049 · BWI → TOL

Odds over time