Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Monday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

AVIANCA EL SALVADOR · FLIGHT TA 445 IN THE AIR (OFF 5:03 PM ET, ETA 7:55 PM CST)

Monday, October 12 Today

TA 445 · BOS → SAL

took off 5:03 PM ET · expected to land 7:55 PM CST (scheduled 5:00 PM ET → 8:54 PM CST)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SAL more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SAL?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at SAL that day

↑ 5pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ SAL usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into SAL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.31 in

SAL (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

TA 445 · BOS → SAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAL?