UA 1006 · LAS → DEN

departs 11:45 AM PT · arrives 2:36 PM MT

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±4 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ 11am departures from LAS are often late

↑ LAS is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1006 · LAS → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?