UA 1050 · MFR → SFO

departs 5:55 AM PT · arrives 7:23 AM PT

Your aircraft is N47288 (B38M), coming in as UA 8124 from SFO: landed 10:39 PM PT.

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

83% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ MFR is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

Weather at each end

MFR (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1050 · MFR → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?