UA 1307 · BOS → EWR

departs 9:30 AM ET · arrives 10:58 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±3 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 567 ft, visibility down to 2.66667 mi forecast at EWR that day

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at BOS that day

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↓ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.43 in

EWR (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling567 ft Visibility2.66667 mi Precip0.12 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1307 · BOS → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?