UA 1392 · BOS → IAH

left the gate 7:27 PM ET · taxiing (scheduled 5:35 PM ET → 8:55 PM CT)

Your aircraft is N68817 (B739), coming in as UA 2401 from ORD: landed 6:01 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BOS that day

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.41 in

IAH (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,957 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1392 · BOS → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?