UA 1410 · EWR → RDU

departs 11:25 AM ET · arrives 1:18 PM ET

Your aircraft is N804UA (A319), coming in as UA 1813 from MCI: landed 9:53 AM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to RDU?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ EWR is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 15% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ RDU usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.04 in

RDU (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling4,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1410 · EWR → RDU

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDU?