UA 1424 · IAH → FLL

took off 3:07 PM CT · expected to land 6:09 PM ET (scheduled 2:39 PM CT → 6:14 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to FLL?

LIVE

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 2pm departures from IAH are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

FLL (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1424 · IAH → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?