UA 1454 · IAH → NAS

took off 9:59 AM CT · expected to land 1:22 PM EDT (scheduled 9:47 AM CT → 1:54 PM EDT)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at NAS more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to NAS?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ IAH is busy at that time

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into NAS at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.09 in

NAS (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1454 · IAH → NAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to NAS?