UA 1498 · IAD → EWR

left the gate 1:05 PM ET · taxiing (scheduled 12:35 PM ET → 2:01 PM ET)

Your aircraft is N17432 (B39M), coming in as UA 2746 from MCO: landed 10:59 AM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at EWR that day

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.97 in

EWR (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1498 · IAD → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?