Schedule: FAA flight plans.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1535 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 6:53 PM CT (15 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Monday, October 12 Today

UA 1535 · IAH → DFW

departs 6:05 PM CT · arrives 7:31 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

74% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

DFW (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1535 · IAH → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?