UA 1590 · EWR → DFW

departs 2:43 PM ET · arrives 5:29 PM CT

Your aircraft is N65832 (B739), coming in as UA 1081 from MCO: landed 12:59 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ 2pm departures from EWR are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.04 in

DFW (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1590 · EWR → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?