UA 1696 · FLL → IAH

took off 5:23 PM ET · expected to land 6:37 PM CT (scheduled 5:00 PM ET → 6:56 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

1% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to IAH?

LIVE

On time or early
99%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1696 · FLL → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?