UA 178 · FCO → DEN

took off 2:45 PM CEST · expected to land 5:30 PM MT (scheduled 2:18 PM CEST → 6:07 PM MT)

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Gusts to 32 kt forecast at DEN that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FCO

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

FCO (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts32 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 178 · FCO → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?