UA 1799 · IAH → LAS

took off 10:06 AM CT · expected to land 10:42 AM PT (scheduled 9:44 AM CT → 10:57 AM PT)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

1% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAS?

LIVE

On time or early
99%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ IAH is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.09 in

LAS (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1799 · IAH → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?