UA 1832 · EWR → RSW

took off 3:45 PM ET · landed 6:11 PM ET (scheduled 3:17 PM ET → 6:37 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to RSW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 3pm departures from EWR are often late

↑ EWR is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at RSW that day

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.04 in

RSW (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1832 · EWR → RSW

Odds over time

How late did it get to RSW?