UA 2049 · DFW → DEN

took off 12:18 PM CT · expected to land 12:43 PM MT (scheduled 11:35 AM CT → 12:45 PM MT)

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

LIVE

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from DFW are often late

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 16% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts32 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2049 · DFW → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?