UA 2070 · IAD → ABQ

departs 5:38 PM ET · arrives 8:03 PM MT

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ABQ?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
32%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from IAD are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Gusts to 32 kt forecast at ABQ that day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.97 in

ABQ (destination) Gusts32 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2070 · IAD → ABQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to ABQ?