UA 2167 · DEN → RNO

took off 11:51 AM MT · landed 12:48 PM PT (scheduled 11:46 AM MT → 1:16 PM PT)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±2 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to RNO?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from DEN are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ RNO is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Gusts to 32 kt forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RNO (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2167 · DEN → RNO

Odds over time

How late did it get to RNO?