UA 2251 · LAX → CMH

took off 11:12 AM PT · expected to land 5:48 PM ET (scheduled 10:37 AM PT → 6:18 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CMH?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from LAX are often late

↑ Arrivals into CMH at that hour are often late

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ CMH usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.24 in

CMH (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2251 · LAX → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?