UA 2270 · ORF → DEN

took off 10:31 AM ET · landed 12:14 PM MT (scheduled 8:00 AM ET → 10:00 AM MT)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
✓

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ ORF is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 16% of the time recently

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ 8am departures from ORF are usually not late

Weather at each end

ORF (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.02 in

DEN (destination) Gusts32 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2270 · ORF → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?