UA 2315 · LAX → CLE

took off 8:33 AM PT · landed 3:07 PM ET (scheduled 8:16 AM PT → 3:46 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CLE?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.6 in of rain forecast at LAX that day

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at CLE that day

↑ Arrivals into CLE at that hour are often late

↓ CLE usually runs smoothly

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.24 in

CLE (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2315 · LAX → CLE

Odds over time

How late did it get to CLE?