Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2410 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 12 Tomorrow

UA 2410 · IAD → SLC

departs 5:50 PM ET · arrives 8:46 PM MT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 27h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±7 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.8 in of rain forecast at SLC that day

↑ 5pm departures from IAD are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1.33333 mi Precip0.41 in

SLC (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.79 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2410 · IAD → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?