UA 2438 · EWR → IAH

took off 7:14 AM ET · expected to land 9:08 AM CT (scheduled 7:05 AM ET → 9:50 AM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to IAH?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ EWR is busy at that time

↑ IAH is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.04 in

IAH (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling10,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2438 · EWR → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?