UA 2842 · SFO → DFW

departs 10:25 AM PT · arrives 4:08 PM CT

Your aircraft is N17475 (B39M), coming in as UA 2661 from PHL: landed 8:42 AM PT.

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from SFO are often late

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2842 · SFO → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?