UA 348 · BZN → EWR

departs 11:38 AM MT · arrives 6:00 PM ET

Your aircraft is N37318 (B38M), coming in as UA 297 from EWR: landed 10:22 AM MT.

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at BZN that day

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↓ 11am departures from BZN are usually not late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BZN (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip0.03 in

EWR (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 348 · BZN → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?