tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 3874 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

UA 3874 · IAH → MCO

departs 8:03 AM CT · arrives 11:42 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 2h after departure
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
7% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.4d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MCO?

  1. On time or early
    93%
  2. 15–30 min late
    0%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.