tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 3897 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

UA 3897 · EWR → MLB

departs 6:05 AM ET · arrives 8:45 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 16h after departure
Arrive at MLB more than 15 minutes late?
8% chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.3d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MLB?

  1. On time or early
    90%
  2. 15–30 min late
    2%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    <1%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.