UA 537 · IAH → YYC

took off 9:42 AM CT · expected to land 12:16 PM MDT (scheduled 9:23 AM CT → 12:43 PM MDT)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at YYC more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to YYC?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ IAH is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into YYC at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

YYC (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 537 · IAH → YYC

Odds over time

How late will it get to YYC?