UA 784 · MEX → DEN

took off 8:14 AM CST · landed 11:21 AM MT (scheduled 8:03 AM CST → 11:38 AM MT)

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ MEX is busy at that time

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MEX

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MEX (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts32 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 784 · MEX → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?