tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 882 IN THE AIR (OFF 5:32 PM JST, SEEN BY ADS-B, ETA 2:22 PM CT)
Today

UA 882 · HND → ORD

took off 5:32 PM JST · expected to land 2:22 PM CT (scheduled 5:13 PM JST → 2:29 PM CT)
Forecast issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · 1h after departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
30% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.2d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    70%
  2. 15–30 min late
    28%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.