VB 601 · LAS → MTY

departs 12:20 PM PT · arrives 4:21 PM CST

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at MTY more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MTY?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Arrivals into MTY at that hour are usually not late

↓ MTY usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling11,286 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

MTY (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

VB 601 · LAS → MTY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MTY?