tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

VIRGIN ATLANTIC · FLIGHT VS 21 IN THE AIR (OFF 4:38 PM BST, SEEN BY ADS-B)
Today

VS 21 · LHR → IAD

took off 4:38 PM BST (scheduled 3:50 PM BST → 8:09 PM ET)
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 0h before departure
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
20% chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.5d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAD?

  1. On time or early
    78%
  2. 15–30 min late
    9%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.